Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.897793 2.277980 2.705331 3.219886 3.821161 4.500022 5.322945
2025-12-28 1.424221 1.926476 2.552211 3.383127 4.450811 5.769198 7.511988
2026-01-04 1.106512 1.654107 2.396899 3.464810 4.944775 6.904770 9.674250
2026-01-11 0.912962 1.486756 2.323247 3.608275 5.503213 8.159100 12.117199
2026-01-18 0.740109 1.303691 2.180875 3.610880 5.838624 9.119426 14.239243
2026-01-25 0.585521 1.111612 1.982731 3.483859 5.943950 9.734397 15.901043
2026-02-01 0.467481 0.953022 1.805287 3.351827 6.007450 10.271323 17.474391
2026-02-08 0.394107 0.857446 1.714878 3.344580 6.261351 11.117379 19.594909
2026-02-15 0.336870 0.779754 1.641290 3.351340 6.531719 12.006059 21.854285
2026-02-22 0.284805 0.700868 1.550856 3.310583 6.706694 12.741648 23.912549
2026-03-01 0.230062 0.603698 1.406909 3.143593 6.624348 13.012866 25.183138
2026-03-08 0.196277 0.546171 1.333910 3.104922 6.776089 13.709544 27.256267
2026-03-15 0.168760 0.498235 1.275108 3.090672 6.981137 14.537217 29.668274
2026-03-22 0.158160 0.490862 1.306350 3.274554 7.609253 16.223707 33.824515
2026-03-29 0.142762 0.467134 1.295269 3.362347 8.045991 17.576981 37.456611
2026-04-05 0.132082 0.454014 1.307506 3.504726 8.614082 19.237442 41.813089
2026-04-12 0.115976 0.420992 1.263851 3.508115 8.875749 20.298096 45.063374
2026-04-19 0.096919 0.373668 1.173981 3.384623 8.835076 20.726550 47.068192
2026-04-26 0.080737 0.330818 1.087707 3.256073 8.765141 21.082204 48.944403
2026-05-03 0.070990 0.306989 1.050414 3.249037 8.982068 22.072931 52.222747
2026-05-10 0.062916 0.286791 1.019933 3.255630 9.232282 23.156408 55.777491
2026-05-17 0.054681 0.263428 0.975256 3.215928 9.361309 23.976180 58.817096
2026-05-24 0.044812 0.230167 0.892289 3.053263 9.154555 24.004931 60.106105